Dorking Wanderers – Southall FC Prognose
Unsere Tipps
Match result
Dorking Wanderers to win
Two divisions higher, unbeaten in six, and now at home in the replay.
Warum dieser Tipp
Two divisions higher, unbeaten in six, and now at home in the replay.
Dorking are two divisions above Southall (National League South vs Isthmian South Central), are unbeaten in six and have won or drawn every game since late August, scoring 20 in ten. Home advantage at Meadowbank adds to a gap that the first tie disguised: Dorking led twice away and only a saved penalty and an 84th-minute header kept Southall alive.
- Tatsächlich
- 3-3
Es gibt keine Quote zum Vergleich, daher ist dies eine Einschätzung, die für sich bewertet wird.
65%Team goalsDorking Wanderers over 1.5 goalsGewonnen
Dorking have scored two or more in six of their ten 2026-27 games, including 3-0, 4-1, 3-3, 3-3 and the 2-2 at Southall. Against a step-four defence that shipped two to them already and conceded in both cup ties, an expected two-and-a-bit goals at home makes 2+ the likeliest outcome.
- Tatsächlich
- 3
Es gibt keine Quote zum Vergleich, daher ist dies eine Einschätzung, die für sich bewertet wird.
64%Total goalsover 2.5 goalsGewonnen
Two independent signals: Dorking's own season is goal-soaked (three 3-3s, a 4-1, a 2-3 — six of ten over 2.5) and Southall have gone over 1.5 in both their cup ties while scoring in each. Dorking's defence has kept only one clean sheet in ten this season, so even a comfortable win is unlikely to be a tight one.
- Tatsächlich
- 6
Es gibt keine Quote zum Vergleich, daher ist dies eine Einschätzung, die für sich bewertet wird.
Kurz gesagt
Dorking, two divisions above Southall and unbeaten in six, should win a high-scoring replay.
- 1Dorking play two divisions above Southall and host this replay
- 2Dorking unbeaten in six but conceded in eight of ten
- 3First tie finished 2-2 with a missed penalty for Southall
Mehr Details
Was passiert ist3–3 · 2 von 3 Tipps richtig
Endstand
3–3
Tore
6 (erwartet 3.3)
Ecken
– (erwartet 10.5)
Karten
0 (erwartet 3.5)
Wir vs die BuchmacherAlle unsere Wahrscheinlichkeiten für dieses Spiel.
| Wir | Buchmacher | Abstand | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sieg Dorking Wanderers | 70% | – | – |
| Unentschieden | 18% | – | – |
| Sieg Southall FC | 12% | – | – |
| Über 1.5 Tore | 88% | – | – |
| Über 2.5 Tore | 64% | – | – |
| Über 3.5 Tore | 40% | – | – |
| Beide Teams treffen | 55% | – | – |
| Elfmeter im Spiel | 18% | – | – |
| Rote Karte im Spiel | 10% | – | – |
Die Werte der Buchmacher sind ihre Quoten ohne Marge. Ein Abstand von 4 Punkten oder mehr ist hervorgehoben. Die Spalte des Datenanbieters ist dessen eigene Prognose, zur Orientierung.
Erwartete Tore
2.30 – 1.00
Erwartete Ecken
10.5
Erwartete Karten
3.5
Wahrscheinlichste Ergebnisse
2-1 (12%) · 2-0 (11%) · 3-1 (10%)
Letzte Teamnachrichten (6)First tie finished Southall 2-2 Dorking on 20 Sep: Rogalski 27' and Nikaj 32' for Dorking, Scott 30' and Hayes 84' for Southall…
First tie finished Southall 2-2 Dorking on 20 Sep: Rogalski 27' and Nikaj 32' for Dorking, Scott 30' and Hayes 84' for Southall; a Dorking goal was disallowed and Glenn Morris saved a Roberts penalty after Sayers fouled Scott.
2026-09-21Verlässlichkeit: highdwfc.co.uk
Dorking made two changes for the first tie: George Francomb and Dennon Lewis in for Harry Forster and Louie Annesley. No injuries or cards reported.
2026-09-21Verlässlichkeit: highdwfc.co.uk
Dorking's 2026-27 National League South record before the replay: 0-1, 0-0, 3-0, 2-3, 4-1, 1-0, 3-3, 3-3, 2-2 — 20 scored, 15 conceded in ten games, unbeaten in six.
2026-09-21Verlässlichkeit: highdwfc.co.uk
Southall FC play in the Isthmian League South Central Division (step 4), two divisions below Dorking's National League South; they beat Deal Town and Windsor & Eton in earlier qualifying rounds.
2026-09-21Verlässlichkeit: mediumen.wikipedia.org
Replay is at Meadowbank Stadium on 22 September 2026; the winner hosts/plays Chatham in the third qualifying round.
2026-09-21Verlässlichkeit: mediumbeinsports.com
Dorking's next league fixture is at home to Braintree Town on the following Saturday, a possible rotation motive.
2026-09-21Verlässlichkeit: mediumdwfc.co.uk
Was schiefgehen könnteSouthall defend deep again, Dorking rotate tired legs before Braintree, and another draw kills the result pick.
Southall defend deep again, Dorking rotate tired legs before Braintree, and another draw kills the result pick.
Was nicht überprüft werden konnte
- Referee appointment for the replay
- Any injuries or suspensions from the first tie
- Southall FC's league form this season (no results page found)
- Corner, shot and foul data for both clubs
- Bookmaker prices — none in the pack
Die DatenDiese Daten hat der Analyst für dieses Spiel bekommen.
Diese Daten hat der Analyst für dieses Spiel bekommen.
| Dorking Wanderers | Southall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Punkte pro Spiel | 0.8 | – |
| Tore für – gegen | 1.2 – 1.9 | – – – |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) für – gegen | 1.91 – 1.78 | – – – |
| Zu-null-Spiele | 20% | – |
| Beide trafen | 60% | – |
| Über 2.5 Tore | 50% | – |
| Ecken für – gegen | – – – | – – – |
| Gelbe für – gegen | 2.1 – 1.8 | – – – |
| Tage seit dem letzten Spiel | 2 | 2 |
Letzte 10 Spiele: das Heimteam zu Hause, das Gastteam auswärts. Tore und xG sind für–gegen pro Spiel; Ecken und Gelbe Karten ebenso.
Direkter Vergleich
1 Duelle: 0 Heimsiege, 1 Unentschieden, 0 Auswärtssiege · 4.0 Tore pro Spiel.
- 2026-09-20 · Southall FC 2–2 Dorking Wanderers
Ausfälle
Dorking Wanderers
Keine gemeldet
Southall FC
Keine gemeldet
Aufstellungen: predicted
Buchmacherquoten
Durchschnitt mehrerer Buchmacher. Ihre gemeinsame Marge beträgt –%.
Letzte 10 Spiele — Dorking Wanderers
| 09-20 | A | Southall FC | 2–2 | D |
| 04-20 | H | Hartlepool United | 3–4 | L |
| 04-13 | A | Rochdale | 1–1 | D |
| 04-11 | A | Wealdstone | 2–4 | L |
| 04-06 | H | Altrincham FC | 0–0 | D |
| 04-01 | A | Aldershot Town | 1–1 | D |
| 03-29 | H | Bromley | 0–2 | L |
| 03-23 | A | Barnet | 0–6 | L |
| 03-16 | H | Solihull Moors | 1–1 | D |
| 03-12 | A | Southend United | 0–2 | L |
Letzte 10 Spiele — Southall FC
| 09-20 | H | Dorking Wanderers | 2–2 | D |
| 09-06 | H | Cobham FC | 2–1 | W |
Die vollständige AnalyseDie komplette Begründung des Analysten · 2 Min. Lesezeit
Back Dorking Wanderers to finish the job at Meadowbank: two divisions higher, unbeaten in six and scoring freely, though their leaky defence keeps goals flowing.
## Data
The pack's "last 10 home" block for Dorking is stale: those games are February–April 2026 in the National League, the season they were relegated (2-2-6 at home, 1.9 conceded per game). Their only 2026-27 entry here is the 2-2 at Southall. Goal timing shows Dorking leak late (goals against 61-90: 6 of 17 all-comps) and score after the break (4 of 10 in 46-60).
Southall's sample is two FA Cup games only: 2-1 over Cobham, 2-2 with Dorking. Both went over 1.5, both saw both teams score. No corner, shot, xG, foul or possession data exists for either club, and the referee is unannounced — so no corners or cards pick is defensible.
## News
Dorking's own site lists their 2026-27 record: 0-1, 0-0, 3-0, 2-3, 4-1, 1-0, 3-3, 3-3, 2-2 plus the cup 2-2 — 20 scored, 15 conceded in ten, six games unbeaten, and three 3-3s. Southall are an Isthmian South Central (step 4) side, Dorking National League South (step 2): a two-division gap. In the first tie Dorking led twice, had a goal disallowed, and Glenn Morris saved Roberts' penalty before Hayes equalised at 84'. No injury or suspension news surfaced for either side; both had two days' rest.
## Market
No prices in the pack. A step-2 side at home against step 4 is normally around 1.25–1.35, i.e. roughly 70-75% — I sit at 70%, shaded down because Southall have already matched them once and Dorking's defence concedes in nearly every game. Both attacks scoring plus Dorking's generosity pushes over 2.5 to ~64%, above a typical 55-58% price.
## Uncertainties
Zero venue history for Southall, no referee, and the chance Dorking rotate with a league game at Braintree on Saturday. Settlement is on 90 minutes; a level score then goes to extra time, which is the main way the win pick fails.
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