Dorking Wanderers vs Southall FC 预测
我们的推荐
Match result
Dorking Wanderers to win
Two divisions higher, unbeaten in six, and now at home in the replay.
为什么推荐
Two divisions higher, unbeaten in six, and now at home in the replay.
Dorking are two divisions above Southall (National League South vs Isthmian South Central), are unbeaten in six and have won or drawn every game since late August, scoring 20 in ten. Home advantage at Meadowbank adds to a gap that the first tie disguised: Dorking led twice away and only a saved penalty and an 84th-minute header kept Southall alive.
- 实际
- 3-3
没有可比较的赔率，所以这是一项主观判断，单独评判。
65%Team goalsDorking Wanderers over 1.5 goals命中
Dorking have scored two or more in six of their ten 2026-27 games, including 3-0, 4-1, 3-3, 3-3 and the 2-2 at Southall. Against a step-four defence that shipped two to them already and conceded in both cup ties, an expected two-and-a-bit goals at home makes 2+ the likeliest outcome.
- 实际
- 3
没有可比较的赔率，所以这是一项主观判断，单独评判。
64%Total goalsover 2.5 goals命中
Two independent signals: Dorking's own season is goal-soaked (three 3-3s, a 4-1, a 2-3 — six of ten over 2.5) and Southall have gone over 1.5 in both their cup ties while scoring in each. Dorking's defence has kept only one clean sheet in ten this season, so even a comfortable win is unlikely to be a tight one.
- 实际
- 6
没有可比较的赔率，所以这是一项主观判断，单独评判。
简而言之
Dorking, two divisions above Southall and unbeaten in six, should win a high-scoring replay.
- 1Dorking play two divisions above Southall and host this replay
- 2Dorking unbeaten in six but conceded in eight of ten
- 3First tie finished 2-2 with a missed penalty for Southall
深入了解
比赛结果3–3 · 3 条推荐中 2 条命中
最终比分
3–3
进球
6 (我们预计 3.3)
角球
– (我们预计 10.5)
牌数
0 (我们预计 3.5)
我们 vs 博彩公司我们对这场比赛的全部概率。
| 我们 | 博彩公司 | 差距 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers 胜 | 70% | – | – |
| 平局 | 18% | – | – |
| Southall FC 胜 | 12% | – | – |
| 大于 1.5 球 | 88% | – | – |
| 大于 2.5 球 | 64% | – | – |
| 大于 3.5 球 | 40% | – | – |
| 双方都进球 | 55% | – | – |
| 比赛出现点球 | 18% | – | – |
| 比赛出现红牌 | 10% | – | – |
博彩公司的数字是去掉抽水后的赔率。4 个百分点及以上的差距会高亮。数据源一栏是数据提供方自己的预测，仅供参考。
预期进球
2.30 – 1.00
预期角球
10.5
预期牌数
3.5
最可能的比分
2-1 (12%) · 2-0 (11%) · 3-1 (10%)
最新球队消息（6）First tie finished Southall 2-2 Dorking on 20 Sep: Rogalski 27' and Nikaj 32' for Dorking, Scott 30' and Hayes 84' for Southall…
First tie finished Southall 2-2 Dorking on 20 Sep: Rogalski 27' and Nikaj 32' for Dorking, Scott 30' and Hayes 84' for Southall; a Dorking goal was disallowed and Glenn Morris saved a Roberts penalty after Sayers fouled Scott.
2026-09-21可靠性：highdwfc.co.uk
Dorking made two changes for the first tie: George Francomb and Dennon Lewis in for Harry Forster and Louie Annesley. No injuries or cards reported.
2026-09-21可靠性：highdwfc.co.uk
Dorking's 2026-27 National League South record before the replay: 0-1, 0-0, 3-0, 2-3, 4-1, 1-0, 3-3, 3-3, 2-2 — 20 scored, 15 conceded in ten games, unbeaten in six.
2026-09-21可靠性：highdwfc.co.uk
Southall FC play in the Isthmian League South Central Division (step 4), two divisions below Dorking's National League South; they beat Deal Town and Windsor & Eton in earlier qualifying rounds.
2026-09-21可靠性：mediumen.wikipedia.org
Replay is at Meadowbank Stadium on 22 September 2026; the winner hosts/plays Chatham in the third qualifying round.
2026-09-21可靠性：mediumbeinsports.com
Dorking's next league fixture is at home to Braintree Town on the following Saturday, a possible rotation motive.
2026-09-21可靠性：mediumdwfc.co.uk
可能出错的地方Southall defend deep again, Dorking rotate tired legs before Braintree, and another draw kills the result pick.
Southall defend deep again, Dorking rotate tired legs before Braintree, and another draw kills the result pick.
未能核实的内容
- Referee appointment for the replay
- Any injuries or suspensions from the first tie
- Southall FC's league form this season (no results page found)
- Corner, shot and foul data for both clubs
- Bookmaker prices — none in the pack
数据这是分析师针对这场比赛拿到的数据。
这是分析师针对这场比赛拿到的数据。
| Dorking Wanderers | Southall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 场均积分 | 0.8 | – |
| 进球 – 失球 | 1.2 – 1.9 | – – – |
| 预期进球 (xG) 进 – 失 | 1.91 – 1.78 | – – – |
| 零封 | 20% | – |
| 双方都进球 | 60% | – |
| 大于 2.5 球 | 50% | – |
| 角球 得 – 失 | – – – | – – – |
| 黄牌 本方 – 对方 | 2.1 – 1.8 | – – – |
| 距上一场天数 | 2 | 2 |
近 10 场：主队看主场，客队看客场。进球和 xG 为每场进–失；角球和黄牌同理。
交锋记录
1 次交锋：主胜 0、平 1、客胜 0 · 场均 4.0 球。
- 2026-09-20 · Southall FC 2–2 Dorking Wanderers
缺阵
Dorking Wanderers
无报告
Southall FC
无报告
首发：predicted
博彩赔率
多家博彩公司的综合赔率。它们的合计抽水为 –%。
近 10 场 — Dorking Wanderers
| 09-20 | 客 | Southall FC | 2–2 | D |
| 04-20 | 主 | Hartlepool United | 3–4 | L |
| 04-13 | 客 | Rochdale | 1–1 | D |
| 04-11 | 客 | Wealdstone | 2–4 | L |
| 04-06 | 主 | Altrincham FC | 0–0 | D |
| 04-01 | 客 | Aldershot Town | 1–1 | D |
| 03-29 | 主 | Bromley | 0–2 | L |
| 03-23 | 客 | Barnet | 0–6 | L |
| 03-16 | 主 | Solihull Moors | 1–1 | D |
| 03-12 | 客 | Southend United | 0–2 | L |
近 10 场 — Southall FC
| 09-20 | 主 | Dorking Wanderers | 2–2 | D |
| 09-06 | 主 | Cobham FC | 2–1 | W |
完整分析分析师的完整推理 · 阅读约 2 分钟
Back Dorking Wanderers to finish the job at Meadowbank: two divisions higher, unbeaten in six and scoring freely, though their leaky defence keeps goals flowing.
## Data
The pack's "last 10 home" block for Dorking is stale: those games are February–April 2026 in the National League, the season they were relegated (2-2-6 at home, 1.9 conceded per game). Their only 2026-27 entry here is the 2-2 at Southall. Goal timing shows Dorking leak late (goals against 61-90: 6 of 17 all-comps) and score after the break (4 of 10 in 46-60).
Southall's sample is two FA Cup games only: 2-1 over Cobham, 2-2 with Dorking. Both went over 1.5, both saw both teams score. No corner, shot, xG, foul or possession data exists for either club, and the referee is unannounced — so no corners or cards pick is defensible.
## News
Dorking's own site lists their 2026-27 record: 0-1, 0-0, 3-0, 2-3, 4-1, 1-0, 3-3, 3-3, 2-2 plus the cup 2-2 — 20 scored, 15 conceded in ten, six games unbeaten, and three 3-3s. Southall are an Isthmian South Central (step 4) side, Dorking National League South (step 2): a two-division gap. In the first tie Dorking led twice, had a goal disallowed, and Glenn Morris saved Roberts' penalty before Hayes equalised at 84'. No injury or suspension news surfaced for either side; both had two days' rest.
## Market
No prices in the pack. A step-2 side at home against step 4 is normally around 1.25–1.35, i.e. roughly 70-75% — I sit at 70%, shaded down because Southall have already matched them once and Dorking's defence concedes in nearly every game. Both attacks scoring plus Dorking's generosity pushes over 2.5 to ~64%, above a typical 55-58% price.
## Uncertainties
Zero venue history for Southall, no referee, and the chance Dorking rotate with a league game at Braintree on Saturday. Settlement is on 90 minutes; a level score then goes to extra time, which is the main way the win pick fails.
由 opus 分析（含网络搜索）。