Sagrada Esperança vs Kabuscorp SCP 预测
我们的推荐
Total goals
under 3.5 goals
Both sides' recent games are low-scoring; Kabuscorp have not passed three goals away.
为什么推荐
Both sides' recent games are low-scoring; Kabuscorp have not passed three goals away.
Kabuscorp have gone over 3.5 in just 1 of their last 10 games and in none of their last five away trips; Sagrada's home games passed 3.5 only 30% of the time and they concede 0.7 per game there. Expected total is around 2.1 goals, and Kabuscorp arrive on three days rest after a long trip, which points to a cautious away approach.
- 实际
- 1
没有可比较的赔率，所以这是一项主观判断，单独评判。
1%Away team goalsKabuscorp under 1.5 goals命中
Kabuscorp average 0.6 goals per away game, failed to score in 60% of them, and have scored at most one goal in each of their last four league matches. Sagrada keep clean sheets in 40% of home games and concede only 0.7 there, with most goals against arriving late.
- 实际
- 0
没有可比较的赔率，所以这是一项主观判断，单独评判。
1%Total goalsunder 2.5 goals命中
Only 30% of Kabuscorp's last 10 games and 20% of their away games produced three or more goals; Sagrada's home matches split 50/50 but their recent Girabola home form is built on a tight defence. Expected goals around 1.25-0.85 leaves under 2.5 comfortably favoured, and the third-party model agrees at 36.8% for the over.
- 实际
- 1
没有可比较的赔率，所以这是一项主观判断，单独评判。
简而言之
Few goals expected: Kabuscorp rarely score away, Sagrada are tight at home in Dundo.
- 1Kabuscorp failed to score in three of five away trips
- 2Sagrada concede only 0.7 per home game, 40% clean sheets
- 3Kabuscorp played three days ago and travel far to Dundo
深入了解
比赛结果1–0 · 3 条推荐中 3 条命中
最终比分
1–0
进球
1 (我们预计 2.1)
角球
– (我们预计 8.5)
牌数
0 (我们预计 3.4)
我们 vs 博彩公司我们对这场比赛的全部概率。
| 我们 | 博彩公司 | 差距 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança 胜 | 44% | – | – |
| 平局 | 31% | – | – |
| Kabuscorp SCP 胜 | 25% | – | – |
| 大于 1.5 球 | 67% | – | – |
| 大于 2.5 球 | 37% | – | – |
| 大于 3.5 球 | 16% | – | – |
| 双方都进球 | 42% | – | – |
| 比赛出现点球 | 17% | – | – |
| 比赛出现红牌 | 9% | – | – |
博彩公司的数字是去掉抽水后的赔率。4 个百分点及以上的差距会高亮。数据源一栏是数据提供方自己的预测，仅供参考。
预期进球
1.25 – 0.85
预期角球
8.5
预期牌数
3.4
最可能的比分
1-0 (14%) · 1-1 (12%) · 0-0 (10%)
最新球队消息（4）No fresh injury, suspension or lineup reports found for either club in the days before this fixture; no absences listed by the…
No fresh injury, suspension or lineup reports found for either club in the days before this fixture; no absences listed by the data pack either.
2026-09-23可靠性：medium365scores.com
Sagrada Esperança publicly denied player strikes and unpaid wages and explained the exit of striker Júnior Batata, amid reported tension with backer Endiama over funding.
2026-03-06可靠性：mediumabola.pt
Estádio Sagrada Esperança in Dundo was certified as fit to host Girabola matches this season, so the game should go ahead at the club's own ground.
2026可靠性：mediumjornaldeangola.ao
Match listed for 23 September 2026 with no reported disruption; referee appointment not published.
2026-09-23可靠性：lowscores24.live
可能出错的地方An early Sagrada goal forces Kabuscorp forward and the game opens into three or more goals.
An early Sagrada goal forces Kabuscorp forward and the game opens into three or more goals.
未能核实的内容
- Confirmed or probable starting elevens for both sides
- Any current injuries or suspensions (none listed anywhere found)
- Referee appointment
- Weather and pitch conditions in Dundo
- Corner, shot and card data for Girabola fixtures (provider logs zeros/blanks)
- Whether Kabuscorp rotate after their 20 September game and long trip
数据Sagrada EsperançaLWLKabuscorp SCPWLDD
这是分析师针对这场比赛拿到的数据。
| Sagrada Esperança | Kabuscorp SCP | |
|---|---|---|
| 积分榜排名 | 14/16 | 9/16 |
| 积分（场次） | 3 (3) | 5 (4) |
| 近期状态 | LWL | WLDD |
| 场均积分 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 进球 – 失球 | 1.4 – 0.7 | 0.6 – 1.2 |
| 预期进球 (xG) 进 – 失 | 0.42 – 1.10 | – – – |
| 零封 | 40% | 0% |
| 双方都进球 | 40% | 40% |
| 大于 2.5 球 | 50% | 20% |
| 角球 得 – 失 | – – – | 0.0 – 1.0 |
| 黄牌 本方 – 对方 | 1.2 – 0.9 | 0.0 – 0.0 |
| 距上一场天数 | 11 | 3 |
近 10 场：主队看主场，客队看客场。进球和 xG 为每场进–失；角球和黄牌同理。
缺阵
Sagrada Esperança
无报告
Kabuscorp SCP
无报告
首发：predicted
博彩赔率
多家博彩公司的综合赔率。它们的合计抽水为 –%。
近 10 场 — Sagrada Esperança
| 09-12 | 客 | CD Lunda Sul | 1–2 | L |
| 08-29 | 主 | CD São Salvador | 3–1 | W |
| 08-22 | 客 | FC Bravos do Maquis | 0–3 | L |
| 01-18 | 客 | Espérance Sportive De Tunis | 1–4 | L |
| 01-11 | 主 | Pyramids FC | 0–1 | L |
| 01-05 | 主 | Djoliba AC | 1–0 | W |
| 12-15 | 客 | Djoliba AC | 0–0 | D |
| 12-06 | 主 | Espérance Sportive De Tunis | 0–0 | D |
| 11-26 | 客 | Pyramids FC | 1–5 | L |
| 09-22 | 主 | Enugu Rangers International | 3–1 | W |
近 10 场 — Kabuscorp SCP
| 09-20 | 主 | Interclube Luanda | 1–0 | W |
| 09-16 | 客 | FC Bravos do Maquis | 0–1 | L |
| 08-29 | 主 | CD Lunda Sul | 1–1 | D |
| 08-23 | 客 | 1º de Maio de Benguela | 1–1 | D |
| 04-04 | 主 | Al-Merrikh Khartoum Club | 2–1 | W |
| 03-14 | 客 | Al-Merrikh Khartoum Club | 0–2 | L |
| 03-07 | 主 | Zamalek SC | 0–0 | D |
| 03-01 | 客 | Zamalek SC | 0–1 | L |
| 02-15 | 客 | Cote d'Or | 2–1 | W |
| 02-08 | 主 | Cote d'Or | 5–1 | W |
完整分析分析师的完整推理 · 阅读约 2 分钟
Back the low-scoring angles: Sagrada are solid at home in Dundo and Kabuscorp barely score on the road, so goals should stay scarce.
## What the data says
Sagrada Esperança: poor overall run (3-2-5, 1.0 goals for, 1.7 against per game), but that window is inflated by a brutal CAF Champions League schedule (Espérance, Pyramids, Zamalek, Wydad). At home the picture flips: 5-2-3, 1.4 scored and only 0.7 conceded per game, 40% clean sheets, and they scored first in 6 of 8 home games where a goal was scored. Only 30% of home games went over 2.5. They have 11 days rest.
Kabuscorp: 1.2 for / 0.9 against overall, but away they are 0.6 for / 1.2 against, no clean sheets, failed to score in 60% of away games, and only 20% of away games passed 2.5 goals; none passed 3.5. Their last four league games produced 1, 0, 1, 1 goals. They played on 20 September (a 90+11' winner over Interclube) so this is a three-day turnaround plus the long trip to Dundo.
Set pieces / discipline: corner and shot data is missing for both sides (Kabuscorp's "1.67 corners per game" comes from three logged games and is not usable). Card counts are logged as 0.0 in Girabola fixtures — clearly a provider gap, not reality. Referee unknown. So no corner or card pick.
## What the news adds
Nothing decisive. Searches returned no fresh injury or lineup reports for either club; the only relevant item is older reporting on Sagrada's financing dispute with Endiama and squad-unrest denials (March 2026), background rather than a team-news change.
## Versus the market
No prices in the pack. Bzzoiro has it near-even (36.5/31.9/31.6) with 1.11-1.01 expected goals and 36.8% over 2.5. I agree on the low total and nudge the home side up to ~44% on the venue split, rest advantage and Kabuscorp's away toothlessness. All picks are unpriced leans on the under side, where both teams' profiles point the same way.
## Uncertainties
Two- to four-game league samples, missing shot data, unknown referee, and a Sagrada home record built largely on continental fixtures from last season.
由 opus 分析（含网络搜索）。