AS FAR Rabat vs Widad Temara prediction
Our pick
AS FAR Rabat team goals
AS FAR Rabat over 0.5 goals
FAR score in 80% of home games and promoted Temara have conceded in every match so far.
Why this pick
FAR score in 80% of home games and promoted Temara have conceded in every match so far.
FAR failed to score in only 2 of their last 10 home games and created 1.74 chances' worth per home game. Promoted Temara conceded in both league games. The market's 64% home-win price implies about 1.6+ FAR goals. Trimmed for 95 days of rust and possible absences.
- Actual
- 1
No bookmaker price to compare against, so this is a judgement call, graded on its own.
In short
Small lean on AS FAR to score. They score in most home games, and Temara conceded in both matches so far.
- 1AS FAR unbeaten in last 10 home games, conceding only 0.7 per game.
- 2FAR's season opener comes after 95 days off; some internationals may be away.
- 3Our result and goals numbers match the bookmaker prices, so no bet there.
Go deeper
What happened1–0 · 1 of 1 picks won
Final score
1–0
Goals
1 (we expected 2.5)
Corners
– (we expected 8.5)
Cards
3 (we expected 4.6)
Us vs the bookmakersWe're within 4 points of the bookmakers on everything.
| Ours | Bookmakers | Gap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS FAR Rabat win | 61% | 64% | -3 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | +1 |
| Widad Temara win | 14% | 12% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 46% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 42% | +4 |
| Penalty in the match | 33% | – | – |
| Red card in the match | 20% | – | – |
Bookmaker figures are their odds with the margin removed. A gap of 4 points or more is highlighted. The data-feed column is the data provider's own forecast, shown for reference.
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.95
Expected corners
8.5
Expected cards
4.6
Likeliest scores
1-0 (12%) · 1-1 (11%) · 2-0 (10%)
Late team news (2)AS FAR play their first Botola game of the season vs Wydad Temara on Thursday at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium; they missed…
AS FAR play their first Botola game of the season vs Wydad Temara on Thursday at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium; they missed Matchdays 1-2 because four players were with national teams.
2026-10-06reliability: mediumafricasoccer.com
Widad Temara made their Botola Pro debut on 26 Sept 2026 with a 3-1 win at Wydad AC (Khouidssi, Sabri x2).
2026-09-26reliability: mediumen.wikipedia.org
What could go wrongAfter 95 days without a game and with internationals possibly missing, FAR could look blunt, as in their two 0-0 home draws.
After 95 days without a game and with internationals possibly missing, FAR could look blunt, as in their two 0-0 home draws.
What it couldn't verify
- FAR's probable XI and whether their internationals are available
- Widad Temara team news
- Referee appointment
- Temara corner/foul stats
The dataAS FAR RabatDLDDWWidad TemaraLW
This is the evidence the analyst was given for this match.
| AS FAR Rabat | Widad Temara | |
|---|---|---|
| Table position | 13/16 | 5/16 |
| Points (played) | 0 (0) | 3 (2) |
| Form | DLDDW | LW |
| Points per game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals for – against | 1.4 – 0.7 | 3.0 – 1.0 |
| Expected goals (xG) for – against | 1.74 – 0.75 | 1.67 – 2.43 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 100% |
| Corners for – against | 5.2 – 2.5 | – – – |
| Yellows for – against | 2.1 – 2.7 | 4.0 – 1.0 |
| Days since last match | 95 | 6 |
Last 10 matches: the home side at home, the away side away. Goals and xG are for–against per game; corners and yellow cards likewise.
Head to head
1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins · 5.0 goals per game.
- 2026-09-12 · AS FAR Rabat 3–2 Widad Temara
Absences
AS FAR Rabat
S. Errahouli (injured: Broken Foot)
Widad Temara
None reported
Line-ups: predicted
Bookmaker odds
AS FAR Rabat
1.41
Draw
3.77
Widad Temara
7.38
Over 2.5 goals
2.01
Under 2.5 goals
1.74
Both score: yes
2.18
Both score: no
1.60
Consensus of several bookmakers. Their combined margin is 11.0%.
Last 10 games — AS FAR Rabat
| 07-05 | H | Renaissance Zemamra | 0–0 | D |
| 07-02 | A | CODM Meknès | 2–3 | L |
| 06-28 | H | Union Touarga Sport | 2–2 | D |
| 06-25 | A | RS Berkane | 2–2 | D |
| 06-21 | H | Kawkab Athletic Club Marrakech | 2–0 | W |
| 06-18 | A | Olympique Dcheira | 1–1 | D |
| 06-14 | H | Wydad Casablanca | 2–1 | W |
| 06-09 | A | MAS de Fès | 0–0 | D |
| 06-04 | H | Difaâ Hassani El-Jadidi | 2–1 | W |
| 05-30 | A | Fath Union Sport | 1–1 | D |
Last 10 games — Widad Temara
| 10-02 | H | Union Touarga Sport | 0–1 | L |
| 09-26 | A | Wydad Casablanca | 3–1 | W |
The full write-upThe analyst's complete reasoning · 2 min read
AS FAR are rightly strong favourites at home to newly promoted Widad Temara, but after 95 days without a competitive game they're priced fairly; the only small lean is FAR to score.
Data (pack). AS FAR's last 10 home games: 5-5-0, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7 per game, with chances created and allowed of 1.74 and 0.75. They failed to score in only 20% of them and scored first in 8 of 8. Over 2.5 goals hit just 40%, and two of the last three home games were 0-0 or 2-2. Most of their home goals come after the break (10 of 14). They average 5.2 corners for and 2.5 against at home. Widad Temara are newly promoted with only 2 games in the data: a 3-1 win at Wydad Casablanca, where they created 1.7 chances' worth against 2.4 allowed, and a 0-1 home loss to Union Touarga. They have conceded in both. There are no corner or foul stats for Temara and no referee. The 3-2 'meeting' on 12 Sept was before FAR's season had started, so it was probably a friendly.
News (web). This is FAR's first league game of the season. They skipped Matchdays 1–2 because four players were away with national teams (Africasoccer, 6 Oct). This is their first competitive match in 95 days, which suggests rust. If the international window is still running, those players may be missing again. S. Errahouli is out with a broken foot (pack). I found no team news for Temara.
Market. The no-margin odds give 63.9/23.9/12.2 and over 2.5 at 46.4%. My numbers are 61/25/14, slightly toward the underdog because of rust and possible absences. Expected goals are 1.6 vs 0.95, about 2.55 in total, after nudging up for the model's known bias toward too few goals. That gives over 2.5 at about 49%, which is no edge on any priced line. Under picks are discouraged anyway.
Pick. FAR to score: the home failed-to-score rate is 20% and Temara conceded in 2 of 2. The market's implied home goal expectation of about 1.6–1.7 also points the same way, so roughly 76%, trimmed for rust. Corners and cards lack data on Temara and the referee, so no lean there.
Uncertainties. FAR's lineup and fitness, Temara's tiny sample, and no referee.
Analysed by opus with web research.