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Прогноз Doma United FC — Plateau United

Nigeria Premier Football League · Matchday 5Завершён
Doma United FCDoma United FC
2–2
Plateau UnitedPlateau United
1/3 зашло

Наши ставки

Team goals

Plateau United under 1.5 goals

Экспертная оценкаСредняяНе зашла

Plateau score 0.6 per away game; Doma have three home clean sheets running.

Почему эта ставка

Plateau score 0.6 per away game; Doma have three home clean sheets running.

Plateau have scored 0.6 goals per away game over their last ten trips, failing to score in 60% of them and managing just 1.0 shot on target per away game. Doma have kept clean sheets in three straight home league games this season and concede only 0.5 per home game across the last ten. Two independent signals, same direction.

Факт
2

Коэффициента для сравнения нет, поэтому это экспертная оценка, которая оценивается отдельно.

Cardsunder 4.5 total cardsЗашла
Экспертная оценкаНизкая

Doma's home games average 1.2 yellows for and 1.4 against; Plateau's away games 1.4 for and 0.7 against — roughly 2.6 bookings per game combined. Fouls are moderate (13-17 per side) and this is not a derby or a decisive fixture. The referee is unannounced, which is the reason for low confidence rather than a reason to avoid the line.

Факт
0

Коэффициента для сравнения нет, поэтому это экспертная оценка, которая оценивается отдельно.

Total goalsunder 2.5 goalsНе зашла
Экспертная оценкаСредняя

None of Doma's last ten home games went over 2.5 goals, and their home split reads 0.8 for / 0.5 against. Plateau's away games go over 2.5 only 30% of the time and they average 0.6 goals on the road. Even the third-party model has over 2.5 at just 38.8%. My total expectation is around 2.1 goals.

Факт
4

Коэффициента для сравнения нет, поэтому это экспертная оценка, которая оценивается отдельно.

Коротко

Back few goals: Doma are watertight at home, Plateau barely score away.

  1. 1Doma's last ten home games: none went past two goals total
  2. 2Plateau failed to score in six of ten away trips
  3. 3Both sides pick up few bookings; fouls are modest on each side

Подробнее

Что произошло2–2 · зашло 1 из 3

Итоговый счёт

2–2

Голы

4 (ожидали 2.1)

Угловые

– (ожидали 9.5)

Карточки

0 (ожидали 3.0)

Мы и букмекерыВсе наши вероятности на этот матч.
МыБукмекерыРазница
Победа Doma United FC56%––
Ничья27%––
Победа Plateau United17%––
Тотал больше 1.561%––
Тотал больше 2.533%––
Тотал больше 3.514%––
Обе забьют36%––
Пенальти в матче17%––
Красная карточка в матче13%––

Цифры букмекеров — их коэффициенты без маржи. Разница в 4 пункта и больше выделена. Столбец поставщика данных — его собственный прогноз, для справки.

Ожидаемые голы

1.40 – 0.70

Ожидаемые угловые

9.5

Ожидаемые карточки

3.0

Самые вероятные счета

1-0 (16%) · 2-0 (11%) · 1-1 (11%)

Последние новости команд (5)Match is at Pantami Stadium, Gombe on 23 September 2026, NPFL matchday 5.

Match is at Pantami Stadium, Gombe on 23 September 2026, NPFL matchday 5.

2026-09-22надёжность: mediumdailysports.net

Doma coach Deji Ayeni demands an immediate reaction after the Kano Pillars defeat, promising to attack while keeping the defence 'compact and resolute'.

2026-09-22надёжность: mediumcompletesports.com

Doma remain top of the NPFL table despite the loss, having kept three consecutive clean sheets earlier in the campaign.

2026-09-22надёжность: mediumcompletesports.com

Plateau coach Gbenga Ogunbote says his rebuilt side, with around seven new players, is 'still a work in progress'.

2026-09-07надёжность: mediumfootballinnigeria.com.ng

No injury or suspension news found for either squad; no absences listed in the data pack either.

2026-09-23надёжность: lowsportsdunia.com

Что может пойти не такAn early Doma goal forcing Plateau to chase could open the game and produce three-plus goals.

An early Doma goal forcing Plateau to chase could open the game and produce three-plus goals.

Что не удалось проверить

  • Referee appointment
  • Confirmed or probable starting XIs
  • Any injuries or suspensions for either side
  • Weather at Pantami Stadium
  • Bookmaker prices (none in the pack, so no priced edges could be assessed)
ДанныеDoma United FCLWWWDPlateau UnitedWDWLW

Вот данные, которые аналитик получил по этому матчу.

Doma United FCPlateau United
Место в таблице1/206/20
Очки (матчи)9 (4)7 (4)
ФормаLWWWDWDWLW
Очков за матч1.40.5
Голы забито – пропущено0.8 – 0.50.6 – 1.4
Ожидаемые голы (xG) забито – пропущено– – –– – –
Сухие матчи50%0%
Забивали обе30%40%
Тотал больше 2.50%30%
Угловые свои – соперника10.5 – 3.52.0 – 8.0
Жёлтые свои – соперника1.2 – 1.41.4 – 0.7
Дней с последнего матча33

Последние 10 матчей: хозяева дома, гости на выезде. Голы и xG — забито–пропущено за матч; угловые и жёлтые карточки так же.

Личные встречи

Встреч: 2; побед хозяев 1, ничьих 0, побед гостей 1 · 2.5 гола за матч.

  • 2024-04-06 · Plateau United 4–0 Doma United FC
  • 2023-11-18 · Doma United FC 1–0 Plateau United

Отсутствуют

Doma United FC

Не сообщалось

Plateau United

Не сообщалось

Составы: predicted

Коэффициенты букмекеров

Среднее по нескольким букмекерам. Их общая маржа — –%.

Последние 10 матчей — Doma United FC
09-20ВKano Pillars1–4L
09-12ДEnyimba2–0W
09-05ВInter Lagos FC1–0W
08-30ДSporting Lagos FC2–0W
06-23ДAbia Warriors1–1D
06-19ДSunshine Stars0–1L
06-15ВKatsina United0–2L
06-09ВHeartland Owerri FC1–3L
06-01ДLobi Stars1–0W
05-26ВKano Pillars1–3L
Последние 10 матчей — Plateau United
09-20ДShooting Stars3–1W
09-13ВNiger Tornadoes1–1D
09-06ДKwara United1–0W
08-30ВRivers United0–2L
05-24ДKano Pillars1–0W
05-10ВNasarawa United0–1L
05-03ВWarri Wolves FC0–1L
04-19ДKun Khalifat FC1–1D
04-12ВRivers United0–1L
04-06ДIkorodu City4–1W
Полный разборПолное обоснование аналитика · 2 мин чтения

Doma United's airtight home defence against a Plateau side that rarely scores on the road points to a low-scoring, tight game.

## Data

Doma (home). Top of the table, 9 pts from 4, but the 10-game home window is strikingly tight: 0.8 goals for, 0.5 against, 50% clean sheets, 0 of 10 home games over 2.5 goals, BTTS only 30%. This season at home: 2-0 Sporting Lagos, 2-0 Enyimba, both with a first-half opener. Corners at home 10.5-3.5 (only 2 games of data), possession 64%. Cards mild (1.2 for / 1.4 against).

Plateau (away). Away record is poor: 1-2-7, 0.6 goals for, 1.4 against, no clean sheets and 60% failed to score. Corners away 2.0-8.0, shots on target away 1.0/g — they concede territory. They did win 3-1 at home v Shooting Stars three days ago, all goals after 50'.

Cards/refs. Combined yellow rate ~2.6/game across the relevant splits; fouls 13-16 per side. Referee not announced — the main blind spot. No penalties scored in Doma's last 10; Plateau one for, one against away.

## News

Doma coach Deji Ayeni (22 Sep) demands a reaction after the 4-1 at Kano Pillars and explicitly says they will stay "compact and resolute" defensively — consistent with the low-event read. Plateau under Gbenga Ogunbote are a rebuilt side ("still a work in progress", ~7 new players). No injury or suspension news surfaced for either club; the pack lists no absences. Venue reported as Pantami Stadium, Gombe.

## Market

No bookmaker prices in the pack. Against Bzzoiro (H 61.3%, over 2.5 38.8%, BTTS 40.8%) I sit slightly lower on the home win — Doma's 10-game home sample contains five draws, so 56% feels fairer than 61% — and a touch lower on goals (over 2.5 ~35%). That leaves no edge on the result but clear leans on the total, Plateau's team total and cards.

## Uncertainties

Tiny stats coverage (Doma corners 2/10 home games), unknown referee, three games in 21 days for both sides, and a Plateau attack that scored three late goals last time out.

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