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Прогноз Crowborough Athletic — Hampton & Richmond Borough

FA Cup · Qualification Round 2Завершён
Crowborough AthleticCrowborough Athletic
3–1
Hampton & Richmond BoroughHampton & Richmond Borough
3/3 зашло

Наши ставки

Team goals

Hampton & Richmond Borough over 0.5 goals

Экспертная оценкаСредняяЗашла

Two divisions higher, scored three on Saturday, against a side yet to keep a clean sheet.

Почему эта ставка

Two divisions higher, scored three on Saturday, against a side yet to keep a clean sheet.

Hampton play two levels above Crowborough, scored three at home in the first tie and failed to score only once in ten logged games. Crowborough have conceded in every game on record, including three at Whyteleafe and one at home, with no clean sheets in either sample.

Факт
1

Коэффициента для сравнения нет, поэтому это экспертная оценка, которая оценивается отдельно.

Both teams to scoreyesЗашла
Экспертная оценкаСредняя

Crowborough have scored and conceded in all three logged games (100% both-scored, no clean sheets) and put three past this exact opponent three days ago. Hampton concede 2.4 per game in the pack window and are without a suspended player plus injured Siziba, while Crowborough's long-throw routine already produced two goals in the first tie. Hampton, two divisions higher, scored in nine of ten logged games.

Факт
BTTS yes

Коэффициента для сравнения нет, поэтому это экспертная оценка, которая оценивается отдельно.

Total goalsover 2.5 goalsЗашла
Экспертная оценкаНизкая

The first meeting brought six goals. Hampton's window shows 80% over 2.5 and 2.4 conceded per game; Crowborough are 67% over 2.5 with 2.33 scored and 2.0 conceded across their three games. A favourite chasing the tie against a defence that has not shut anyone out points to an open game rather than a cagey one.

Факт
4

Коэффициента для сравнения нет, поэтому это экспертная оценка, которая оценивается отдельно.

Коротко

Goals again: back both teams to score after the wild 3-3 first meeting.

  1. 1First tie finished 3-3; neither defence has kept a clean sheet lately
  2. 2Hampton miss a suspended player and injured Siziba; manager hints at changes
  3. 3Crowborough score from Mvongo's long throws, a real leveller at home

Подробнее

Что произошло3–1 · зашло 3 из 3

Итоговый счёт

3–1

Голы

4 (ожидали 3.0)

Угловые

– (ожидали 10.0)

Карточки

0 (ожидали 4.5)

Мы и букмекерыВсе наши вероятности на этот матч.
МыБукмекерыРазница
Победа Crowborough Athletic28%––
Ничья24%––
Победа Hampton & Richmond Borough48%––
Тотал больше 1.581%––
Тотал больше 2.559%––
Тотал больше 3.536%––
Обе забьют60%––
Пенальти в матче22%––
Красная карточка в матче12%––

Цифры букмекеров — их коэффициенты без маржи. Разница в 4 пункта и больше выделена. Столбец поставщика данных — его собственный прогноз, для справки.

Ожидаемые голы

1.30 – 1.75

Ожидаемые угловые

10.0

Ожидаемые карточки

4.5

Самые вероятные счета

1-2 (11%) · 1-1 (10%) · 0-2 (8%)

Последние новости команд (8)Hampton's Jackson picked up a second yellow card in the 3-3 first tie and is suspended for the replay.

Hampton's Jackson picked up a second yellow card in the 3-3 first tie and is suspended for the replay.

2026-09-20надёжность: lowhrbfc.net

Zanda Siziba remains injured (hurt at AFC Totton) and is expected out around another week.

2026-09-20надёжность: lowhrbfc.net

Manager Dowse hinted at lineup changes for the replay, including the Mather-Grego-Cox strike pairing.

2026-09-20надёжность: lowhrbfc.net

Crowborough play in Isthmian League South East (step 4), sit 19th with three points from five league games; Hampton are National League South, two steps higher.

2026-09-18надёжность: mediumhamrichfc.com

Crowborough's cup run: 5-0 v Greenwich, 3-0 v Epsom & Ewell, 1-1 then 3-2 replay win over Whyteleafe; key men Elliot Duncan (6 goals in 10), Samuel-Smike, Forster.

2026-09-18надёжность: mediumhamrichfc.com

Hampton recently drew 1-1 with unbeaten Chelmsford City (Mather scored) and won 2-0 at Farnborough.

2026-09-18надёжность: mediumhamrichfc.com

In the 3-3 draw, Jasper Mather scored for Hampton after three minutes; Crowborough's second-half goals by Duncan and Hutcheon both came from Lucas Mvongo's long throws.

2026-09-19надёжность: highthenonleaguefootballpaper.com

Referee for the replay not announced in any source found.

2026-09-22надёжность: medium

Что может пойти не такHampton's stronger squad settles it early, Crowborough shut up shop and lose a tight 0-1.

Hampton's stronger squad settles it early, Crowborough shut up shop and lose a tight 0-1.

Что не удалось проверить

  • Referee appointment
  • Confirmed or probable lineups for either side
  • Crowborough injury/suspension list
  • Corner, shot, foul and card data (absent for every logged game)
  • Bookmaker prices for any market
  • Weather and pitch conditions
  • Football Web Pages results page returned HTTP 403
ДанныеВот данные, которые аналитик получил по этому матчу.

Вот данные, которые аналитик получил по этому матчу.

Crowborough AthleticHampton & Richmond Borough
Очков за матч1.01.3
Голы забито – пропущено1.0 – 1.01.4 – 2.0
Ожидаемые голы (xG) забито – пропущено– – –– – –
Сухие матчи0%38%
Забивали обе100%50%
Тотал больше 2.50%75%
Угловые свои – соперника– – –– – –
Жёлтые свои – соперника0.0 – 0.0– – –
Дней с последнего матча33

Последние 10 матчей: хозяева дома, гости на выезде. Голы и xG — забито–пропущено за матч; угловые и жёлтые карточки так же.

Личные встречи

Встреч: 1; побед хозяев 0, ничьих 1, побед гостей 0 · 6.0 гола за матч.

  • 2026-09-19 · Hampton & Richmond Borough 3–3 Crowborough Athletic

Отсутствуют

Crowborough Athletic

Не сообщалось

Hampton & Richmond Borough

Не сообщалось

Составы: predicted

Коэффициенты букмекеров

Среднее по нескольким букмекерам. Их общая маржа — –%.

Последние 10 матчей — Crowborough Athletic
09-19ВHampton & Richmond Borough3–3D
09-09ВAFC Whyteleafe3–2W
09-05ДAFC Whyteleafe1–1D
Последние 10 матчей — Hampton & Richmond Borough
09-19ДCrowborough Athletic3–3D
11-08ДOldham Athletic2–3L
11-12ДOldham Athletic1–2L
10-26ВGloucester City1–3L
10-12ДArlesey Town5–1W
09-28ДBedford Town1–0W
10-06ВBury Town FC0–4L
09-22ВWalthamstow1–0W
10-01ВArlesey Town2–6L
10-09ВHarrow Borough1–2L
Полный разборПолное обоснование аналитика · 2 мин чтения

Hampton & Richmond are two divisions better and should edge the replay, but a 3-3 first tie, leaky defences and two missing visitors point to another open, high-scoring night.

(a) Data pack

Tiny, patchy samples. Crowborough have only 3 logged games: 3-3 at Hampton, 3-2 at Whyteleafe, 1-1 at home to Whyteleafe — 100% both-teams-scored, no clean sheets, no failed-to-score, 2.33 goals for and 2.0 against per game. Their goals cluster late (all six scored after 46'; all three conceded 61-75'). Hampton's 10-game window mixes in older seasons: 1.7 scored, 2.4 conceded per game, 80% over 2.5, 70% both scored, 20% clean sheets, 2.5 yellows and 0.5 reds per game. Corner, shot and foul data are missing for every game, and no referee is announced — so no card or corner pick is defensible. H2H: one meeting, 3-3, six goals.

(b) News

Crowborough are Isthmian South East (step 4), 19th with three points from five league games, but on a strong cup run (5-0, 3-0, 1-1 then 3-2 replay win over Whyteleafe). Hampton are National League South, two steps higher, recently 2-0 at Farnborough and 1-1 with unbeaten Chelmsford. Hampton lose Jackson to a second yellow from the first tie, Siziba stays injured, and manager Dowse has hinted at changes — mild levellers. Crowborough's two goals both came from Lucas Mvongo's long throws, a weapon that suits a tight home ground.

(c) Market

No prices in the pack. A step-2 side away at a step-4 side normally sits near 55-62%; the suspension, rotation talk and Crowborough's cup momentum push me to about 48% Hampton, 24% draw at 90 minutes. Totals carry the case: 3.0 expected goals gives 59% over 2.5 and 60% both scoring, supported independently by the 3-3, Crowborough's zero clean sheets and Hampton's 2.4 conceded per game.

(d) Uncertainties

Three games of Crowborough data, a corrupted Hampton window, unknown referee, unknown lineups, midweek replay fatigue. Extra time possible — picks settle on 90 minutes.

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